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Pakistan CAGR Calculator

Compound annual growth rate between a starting and ending investment value over a number of years.

Published

Compound annual growth rate of an investment.

CAGR

Total return

Value multiple

Your breakdown

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One number that hides a bumpy ride

Compound annual growth rate is the single smoothed yearly rate that connects where an investment started to where it ended. It pretends the money grew by the exact same percentage every year, which it almost never did. A PSX stock might surge 40% one year, drop 12% the next, then drift sideways, yet the CAGR irons all of that into one tidy figure. That is its strength and its blind spot at the same time. The calculator above asks for only three things, a starting value, an ending value, and the number of years, because that is genuinely all the math needs. It then raises the ending value over the starting value to the power of one divided by the years, and subtracts one.

Why it beats a plain total return for comparing investments

Suppose a relative tells you their plot of land in the outskirts doubled their money, and a friend says their mutual fund also doubled. Identical bragging rights, until you ask how long. If the land took eleven years and the fund took six, the fund grew your wealth much faster each year even though both ended at the same multiple. CAGR is what lets you place a three year holding next to a ten year holding on the same scale. That is also why it is the honest way to read a fund factsheet: a five year CAGR tells you far more than a headline cumulative return that quietly spans a long stretch.

Working through PKR 500,000 grown to PKR 1,200,000

Take the default values in the tool. You put in PKR 500,000, and six years later the position is worth PKR 1,200,000. That is a 2.40 times multiple and a total return of 140%, but spread across six years the steady annual rate is much gentler.

The smooth teal line below is what 15.71% a year looks like. Real holdings rarely trace that curve; they zigzag around it and land at the same endpoint.

The mistake that inflates the number

People often confuse CAGR with the simple average of yearly returns, and the two can diverge badly. Imagine a year of plus 50% followed by a year of minus 50%. The arithmetic average looks like zero, which sounds harmless. But PKR 100 becomes PKR 150, then falls to PKR 75, a real loss of a quarter of your capital. CAGR captures that pain because it is built on the actual start and end values, not on averaging the swings. Volatility always drags the compounded rate below the simple average, and the wilder the ride, the bigger that gap.

A practical caution before you trust the figure

CAGR says nothing about risk, nothing about whether you could have withdrawn money mid-way, and nothing about timing. Two funds can show an identical 15% CAGR while one slept soundly and the other lurched through gut-churning drawdowns. It also ignores anything you added or took out along the way; it assumes a single deposit at the start and a single value at the end. If you were drip-feeding money in monthly, CAGR is the wrong lens and a money-weighted return or an internal rate of return tells the truer story. Treat this tool as a clean comparison of point-to-point growth, not a full performance report.

Is CAGR a real return I actually earned?

No, and that is the point. It is a hypothetical constant rate, not a return that occurred in any single year. Your money may never have grown by 15.71% in a calendar year. CAGR is a summary statistic that lets you reason about long-run growth without getting lost in the year-by-year noise.

Does CAGR account for inflation?

Not on its own. The figure here is a nominal rate. With Pakistani inflation often running high, a 15.71% nominal CAGR can translate into a much thinner real gain once prices are stripped out. If you want the real growth in purchasing power, compute the CAGR first, then subtract roughly the average inflation rate over the same period for a quick approximation.

Frequently asked questions

What does CAGR tell you?
The compound annual growth rate is the single yearly rate that would turn your starting value into your ending value over the period, as if it grew smoothly each year. It is useful for comparing investments held for different lengths of time, because it strips out the effect of the holding period and shows growth on a per-year basis.
How does Pakistani inflation affect the real value of my CAGR?
CAGR as calculated here is a nominal figure denominated in Pakistani Rupees. Pakistan has experienced elevated inflation in recent years, sometimes running above 20 percent annually. To estimate your real return, subtract the average annual inflation rate over your holding period from the CAGR. A nominal CAGR of 18 percent during a period of 22 percent inflation represents a negative real return, meaning your purchasing power actually declined.
Which Pakistani investment types is CAGR most useful for comparing?
CAGR works well for comparing lump-sum investments across Pakistan Stock Exchange equities, National Savings Certificates, Prize Bonds, real estate capital appreciation, and mutual funds offered by AMCs regulated by SECP. It is less suited to instruments where you regularly add or withdraw money, such as a Roshan Digital Account with monthly top-ups, because it assumes a single deposit at the start and a single valuation at the end.
Does CAGR factor in withholding tax on capital gains in Pakistan?
No. The calculator uses the raw start and end values you enter. Capital Gains Tax in Pakistan depends on your filer status and the holding period of the asset. If you want to know the after-tax CAGR, enter your net proceeds after CGT deduction as the final value instead of the gross sale price. FBR rules change periodically, so always verify the current rates for your asset class before filing.

Related calculators

Sources

  1. FBR — Income Tax Rates for Salaried Individuals, Federal Board of Revenue, Pakistan
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